Monagas vs UA Maracaibo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MIN
3 - 2
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FEN
1 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
ONC
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |