Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TAC
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 1
MON
13%
23%
63%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 2
ZUL
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 0
CFC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
DEP
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
CFC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 0
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |