Monaco vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
MON
0 - 0
GUI
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1996 |
HSV
0 - 2
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
MPL
0 - 1
MON
25%
25%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MON
2 - 0
ASN
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
MON
3 - 0
HSV
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASB
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
STL
2 - 0
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
TRO
0 - 0
SOC
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
TRO
0 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 2
TRO
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |