Monaco vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
STP
1 - 3
MON
5%
13%
82%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 4
PSG
16%
19%
66%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PSG
3 - 3
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
REI
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 1
NÎM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
PFC
2 - 3
ASS
11%
19%
71%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 2
NAN
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
PSG
6 - 1
ASS
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FBB
0 - 3
ASS
10%
17%
73%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | +1 |