Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 0
MON
20%
26%
53%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
23%
26%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
29%
26%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |