Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
MON
2 - 4
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MON
3 - 1
REN
70%
20%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
MON
1 - 1
MET
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
MPL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
NAN
7 - 0
NIC
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
STR
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |