Monaco vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
LYO
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
NIC
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
0 - 0
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PSG
4 - 0
MPL
87%
10%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
4 - 3
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
2 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AMI
1 - 1
MPL
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MPL
0 - 0
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |