Monaco vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ASN
4 - 0
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 0
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LIL
1 - 2
LOR
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
LMU
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
REN
3 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
LHA
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |