Monaco vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 3
MON
21%
27%
53%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AUX
1 - 0
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
0 - 0
LOR
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 1
SOC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASS
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |