Monaco vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
MON
1 - 1
ASN
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 1
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
MON
2 - 2
LHA
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
AUX
1 - 0
MON
44%
27%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
LEN
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |