Monaco vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NAP
5 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
FEN
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 4
ANG
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
GUI
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 0
GUI
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |