Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 0
MON
20%
26%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
23%
26%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
GAZ
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
SOC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
MPL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |