Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
TFC
2 - 1
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
VAL
1 - 0
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
MON
1 - 0
SED
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
MON
2 - 0
FCG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
ANN
0 - 3
BAS
2%
15%
83%
|
85 | 10 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |