Monaco II vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ARL
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
AGD
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
4 - 0
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
OLY
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
NIC
2 - 3
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LEP
0 - 0
ETG
23%
27%
49%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAE
2 - 1
LEP
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
LEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LEP
1 - 1
ARL
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 3
LEP
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |