Molodechno vs Osipovichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
11º
9º
5
13º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
3 - 3
MOL
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 2
OFC
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MKK
4 - 2
MOL
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 0
FCS
83%
11%
5%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOL
27%
23%
51%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Osipovichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 3
OFC
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MKK
2 - 1
OSI
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OSI
0 - 0
FCS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
OSI
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OSI
0 - 2
GOM
8%
17%
76%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |