Molinense vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
MOL
0 - 0
IMP
25%
26%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 0
MOL
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MOL
2 - 2
PIN
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CAL
1 - 2
MOL
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MOL
0 - 0
JUM
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
BAL
3 - 2
CIE
18%
24%
59%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CIE
1 - 3
IMP
21%
26%
53%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
HOR
1 - 1
CIE
76%
16%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CIE
3 - 2
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ORI
2 - 0
CIE
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |