Molgas ADF vs SD Valenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 1
MOL
61%
19%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MOL
0 - 2
COV
42%
22%
36%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MOL
2 - 3
SCA
17%
20%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
APE
5 - 0
MOL
64%
17%
19%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 2
MOL
89%
8%
4%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SD Valenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
SCA
24%
22%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
APE
1 - 0
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAN
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
VAL
57%
22%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALL
2 - 0
VAL
68%
19%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |