Molgas ADF vs Paderne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 7
MOL
11%
15%
75%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOL
4 - 2
PIÑ
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 3
MOL
17%
18%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MOL
5 - 0
MUI
19%
18%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 5
MOL
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAD
3 - 2
PIÑ
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MUI
3 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 1
TAB
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 1
XUN
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |