Molgas ADF vs Padrenda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MOL
0 - 2
OUT
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ABO
0 - 2
MOL
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MOL
1 - 1
SOU
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ALL
1 - 2
MOL
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOL
13 - 2
OUR
75%
14%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Padrenda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CRE
1 - 1
VIL
47%
22%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
OUT
7 - 0
CRE
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CRE
2 - 3
PAL
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ABO
0 - 2
CRE
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CRE
0 - 1
MUN
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |