Molgas ADF vs Vilardevós analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1335%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
MOL
71%
15%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
5 - 0
MOL
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 5
CEN
27%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 2
CAL
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PON
0 - 2
MOL
26%
19%
55%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilardevós
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAN
40%
21%
38%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 1
VIL
35%
21%
44%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
MOR
17%
17%
66%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIL
60%
18%
22%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CEN
26%
21%
54%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |