Molenbaix vs Montignies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
2º
24
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molenbaix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 2
MOL
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 1
MOL
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 4
SOI
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RMO
1 - 3
MOL
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 2
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montignies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SOL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SOI
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
RMO
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PER
5 - 3
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
5 - 0
HOR
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +3 |