Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 5-0
Molde FK vs Laçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
MFK
5 - 1
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
MFK
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MFK
5 - 1
VIF
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
BBS
0 - 4
MFK
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
MFK
3 - 0
STB
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
ANO
24%
24%
53%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
ANO
2 - 1
LAÇ
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
KFS
1 - 0
LAÇ
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
LAÇ
4 - 2
TEU
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KAM
1 - 2
LAÇ
31%
30%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |