Moldavia U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 1
MDA
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MDA
1 - 0
AND
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
ROU
3 - 0
MDA
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
MDA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MDA
1 - 0
LVA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 1
MDA
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 0
FRO
80%
13%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
AND
0 - 4
RUS
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LVA
0 - 4
RUS
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 2
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |