FAW Championship Gales North Round 16

Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield FC analysis

Mold Alexandra Guilsfield FC
51 ELO 48
17.7% Tilt 14.7%
5255º General ELO ranking 4505º
35º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
63.8%
Mold Alexandra
18.7%
Draw
17.5%
Guilsfield FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
Mold Alexandra
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.5%
Win probability
Guilsfield FC
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mold Alexandra
-15%
+28%
Guilsfield FC

ELO progression

Mold Alexandra
Guilsfield FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
2 - 1
Briton Ferry
BRI
25%
20%
55%
50 57 7 0
08 Nov. 2024
GRE
Gresford Athletic
2 - 2
Mold Alexandra
MOL
20%
21%
58%
50 41 9 0
02 Nov. 2024
MOL
Mold Alexandra
1 - 2
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
86%
10%
4%
50 30 20 0
26 Oct. 2024
LLW
Llay Welfare
2 - 4
Mold Alexandra
MOL
18%
20%
62%
50 24 26 0
19 Oct. 2024
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 3
Mold Alexandra
MOL
10%
16%
74%
49 31 18 +1

Matches

Guilsfield FC
Guilsfield FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
HOL
Holywell
2 - 1
Guilsfield FC
GUI
76%
15%
9%
47 62 15 0
02 Nov. 2024
GUI
Guilsfield FC
4 - 3
Denbigh Town
DEN
37%
23%
40%
46 47 1 +1
26 Oct. 2024
RTW
Ruthin Town
2 - 0
Guilsfield FC
GUI
47%
23%
31%
47 47 0 -1
19 Oct. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
5 - 0
Guilsfield FC
GUI
80%
14%
7%
47 67 20 0
12 Oct. 2024
GUI
Guilsfield FC
0 - 5
Colwyn Bay
COL
22%
23%
55%
48 58 10 -1