NB III Southwest. Jor. 21

Fehérvár II vs MTK Budapest II analysis

Fehérvár II MTK Budapest II
29 ELO 34
-9.4% Tilt -7.8%
9077º General ELO ranking 8111º
79º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
31.5%
Fehérvár II
22.9%
Draw
45.5%
MTK Budapest II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
Fehérvár II
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.5%
Win probability
MTK Budapest II
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fehérvár II
-8%
-2%
MTK Budapest II

Points and table prediction

Fehérvár II
Their league position
MTK Budapest II
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
15º
14º
37
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Szentlőrinc SE
75
75
100%
Iváncsa
71
74
100%
Nagykanizsa FC
61
61
100%
Kaposvari Rakoczi
58
58
100%
FC Dunafoldvar
53
53
100%
Ferencváros II
52
52
100%
MTK Budapest II
37
37
100%
Paksi SE II
34
34
100%
Erdi VSE
32
32
99%
Majosi SE
10º
31
31
10º
92%
Gárdony
11º
30
30
11º
47%
Szekszárdi UFC
12º
27
28
12º
27.5%
PTE-PEAC
14º
25
26
13º
32.5%
Fehérvár II
15º
25
26
14º
46%
Dunaújváros
16º
25
26
15º
19%
Mohácsi
13º
25
25
16º
58.5%
Expected probabilities
Fehérvár II
MTK Budapest II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
27.5% 100%
Relegation
72.5% 0%

ELO progression

Fehérvár II
MTK Budapest II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fehérvár II
Fehérvár II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
PTE
PTE-PEAC
0 - 1
Fehérvár II
MOL
45%
23%
32%
27 28 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
MOL
Fehérvár II
0 - 1
Majosi SE
MSE
58%
21%
20%
28 24 4 -1
03 Mar. 2024
SZE
Szentlőrinc SE
6 - 0
Fehérvár II
MOL
81%
14%
6%
29 49 20 -1
24 Feb. 2024
MOL
Fehérvár II
0 - 2
Veszprém
VES
9%
17%
74%
29 51 22 0
17 Feb. 2024
MOL
Fehérvár II
2 - 1
Budaörsi
BUD
27%
23%
50%
28 36 8 +1

Matches

MTK Budapest II
MTK Budapest II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
MSE
Majosi SE
0 - 2
MTK Budapest II
MTK
29%
22%
49%
33 25 8 0
10 Mar. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 0
Ferencváros II
FER
29%
23%
49%
31 38 7 +2
03 Mar. 2024
SZE
Szekszárdi UFC
1 - 2
MTK Budapest II
MTK
23%
22%
55%
30 24 6 +1
25 Feb. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest II
0 - 2
Putnok VSE
PUT
18%
20%
63%
30 42 12 0
17 Feb. 2024
MTK
MTK Budapest II
0 - 1
Tatabánya
TAT
14%
20%
66%
30 47 17 0
X