Mokpo City vs Paju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mokpo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 1
MOK
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 2
GIM
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 3
HWA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOK
0 - 3
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 5
MOK
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
YES
0 - 0
PAJ
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YAN
0 - 1
PAJ
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAJ
3 - 1
POC
40%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAJ
1 - 2
BUS
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAJ
1 - 0
DFC
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |