Moinhos vs São Mamede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOI
13%
18%
68%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 0
RIB
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
4 - 1
MOI
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 2
AGU
36%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 4
MOI
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Mamede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 1
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VRA
3 - 1
SMA
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 1
LOU
12%
18%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SEP
6 - 0
SMA
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 2
GAN
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |