Mohun Bagan SG vs Goa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KER
1 - 2
MBS
40%
24%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MBS
3 - 0
CHU
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MBS
2 - 1
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
MBS
2 - 0
JAM
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
JAM
2 - 1
MBS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
GOA
2 - 1
MIN
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
GOA
3 - 0
GFC
53%
22%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GOA
2 - 1
BEN
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BEN
2 - 0
GOA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MBS
2 - 0
GOA
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |