Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 5-0
Mogren vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
UES
0 - 3
MOG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOG
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 5
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
UES
0 - 3
MOG
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SJU
1 - 0
UES
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRI
3 - 2
UES
21%
20%
59%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UES
3 - 1
PRI
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UES
4 - 0
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |