Mogren vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MLA
0 - 2
MOG
27%
29%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
0 - 1
PET
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BOK
0 - 2
MOG
14%
28%
58%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
MOG
3 - 1
KOM
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 2
ZET
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LOV
1 - 1
ZET
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BUD
1 - 0
LOV
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LOV
4 - 1
SUT
24%
30%
46%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 0
LOV
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LOV
0 - 2
DEC
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |