Mogren vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ZEM
3 - 1
MOG
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 4
CRV
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 1
RAD
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SME
2 - 2
MOG
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
4 - 1
MOG
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 3
SCP
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 2
SME
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ZEL
2 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
SCP
1 - 3
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
6 - 2
ČUK
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |