Mogren vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SUT
4 - 0
MOG
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MOG
1 - 1
PET
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KOM
0 - 2
MOG
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 0
BUD
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 0
ZET
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 2
ZET
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 1
DEC
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DEC
1 - 3
GRB
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
DEC
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 1
RUD
24%
27%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |