Mogi Mirim vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 1
MOG
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 1
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
MOG
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
PAY
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
AMF
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |