Mogi Mirim vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
MOG
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 1
VOL
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 0
TUP
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 0
MOG
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 4
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
JEC
23%
28%
50%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 1
SAO
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 2
JEC
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 0
JEC
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |