Mogi Mirim vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
MOG
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOG
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 2
XVD
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CIA
6 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
CIA
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 0
JMA
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |