Mogi Mirim vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 0
MOG
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
MOG
3 - 1
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
MOG
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
TUP
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
0 - 3
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |