Mogi Mirim vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRB
1 - 0
MOG
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 1
AMF
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
BRA
4 - 1
MOG
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 3
ITU
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 4
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAX
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
REM
0 - 0
CAX
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
AVA
0 - 1
CAX
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |