Mogi Mirim vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
MOG
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOG
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
XVD
4 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 3
SAO
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |