Mogi Mirim vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 1
MOG
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 3
MOG
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
3 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 3
BAH
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ABC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 4
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
ABC
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |