Moeche ADC vs Sdc A Capela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
XCA
1 - 0
MOE
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOE
1 - 1
RAP
16%
18%
67%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 0
MOE
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MEI
2 - 0
MOE
79%
13%
7%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
MOE
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sdc A Capela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
NAR
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SAD
2 - 1
CAP
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAP
4 - 1
ESO
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 1
CAP
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MEI
4 - 0
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |