Modum vs Odd III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
AIF
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
JEV
3 - 1
MOD
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 2
DRA
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
MJO
1 - 5
MOD
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 4
LOM
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Odd III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2014 |
ASK
7 - 0
ODS
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
AIF
3 - 2
ODS
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
ODS
0 - 3
LOK
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
ODS
0 - 6
JEV
48%
22%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 2
ODS
41%
21%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |