Modum vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
4 - 0
MJO
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
1 - 2
MOD
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
JEV
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
HBK
0 - 4
MOD
17%
20%
62%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 3
MOD
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
BAE
3 - 0
NLI
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
MJO
13 - 0
BAE
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
BAE
9 - 1
DBK
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
LOM
3 - 2
BAE
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 1
BAE
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |