Modum vs Asker II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
RAU
1 - 2
MOD
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 2
NLI
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 2
MOD
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 2
MJO
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Asker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ASK
1 - 4
MJO
36%
23%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ASK
4 - 3
VIL
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LYN
4 - 0
ASK
86%
11%
4%
|
18 | 65 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ASK
2 - 1
RIL
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ROA
1 - 3
ASK
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |