Modica vs Viribus Unitis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
GSM
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NIS
3 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 2
ACA
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
4 - 0
MOD
80%
15%
6%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Viribus Unitis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
MES
15%
23%
62%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VIG
2 - 0
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
4 - 1
VIR
69%
18%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |