Modica vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 4
COM
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIR
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NIS
1 - 0
MOD
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 0
FCR
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIG
2 - 0
TRA
17%
25%
59%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 1
USC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 0
TRA
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TRA
4 - 2
FCS
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |