Modica vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
ASM
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 1
ASC
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SIR
4 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SIR
1 - 2
REG
46%
21%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -5 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 0
ATP
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
GEN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
SIR
3 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |