Modica vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASR
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
MOD
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASD
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 2
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
4 - 2
VIR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 2
MES
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MES
1 - 1
VIG
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 0
MES
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
MES
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |