Modica vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 0
MOD
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VIC
3 - 1
MOD
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 0
TUR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
COM
1 - 1
MOD
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
MES
0 - 2
SIR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
MES
14%
24%
62%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
MES
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MES
0 - 0
NIS
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | -1 |