Modica vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 0
MOD
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
MIL
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GSM
0 - 1
MOD
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
3 - 2
NIS
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 3
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 1
FCR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VIG
2 - 2
ASD
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
3 - 1
USC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TRA
0 - 1
ASD
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 0
SPC
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |