Modica vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
MOD
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 1
ASC
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +5 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
REA
1 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
MOD
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
GAL
17%
24%
60%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
3 - 2
COS
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASM
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 1
SSC
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 1
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 0
POT
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |